We went 4-6 in week 8 for our first losing week since week 1. Anyone watching Buccaneers-Saints saw Tom Brady struggling, but he passed his yardage total due to a return game script. The Panthers beat the Falcons with such surprising ease they didn’t need Sam Darnold to start the second half, while Ryan Tannehill needed extra time to crush us. You never know.
Here’s what to expect for a Week 9 rebound:
Jerry Jeudy over 53.5 yards on reception
Jeudy returned from an injury last week after not playing in Week 1, and he caught all four targets for 39 yards in a botched game against Washington. Jeudy should have his legs under him this week, and he’ll need them in a more open game than the Broncos are used to.
Teddy Bridgewater’s passing yards at 261.5 are above his season average, suggesting the market is expecting more offense from the Broncos in their clash with the Cowboys. We prefer to focus on Jeudy, who should benefit from the development of Trevon Diggs on Courtland Sutton.
Alvin Kamara under 75.5 rushing yards
This is not an affront to Kamara; he can lead the game receiving yards when the Saints face the Falcons. But New Orleans has two other rush options it didn’t have two weeks ago. Mark Ingram will cut into traditional litters now that he has had more time to reconcile, while Taysom Hill will also lead the ball. Kamara’s impact on this game will happen in the passing game.
Austin Hooper over 24.5 yards on reception
We’re with Hooper here because he’s been more and more involved in the Browns’ last two games after a slow start. It stands to reason that Baker Mayfield was forcing balls at various wide receivers, including royal malcontent Odell Beckham Jr. Now that Beckham is gone, Cleveland can confidently use two sets of tight ends and bring Hooper into the game. ‘action. Look for Hooper to see around five targets and manage over 30 yards; Although Hooper missed last year’s road clash with the Bengals, his replacement Hunter Bryant had four receptions for 58 yards.
Tyrod Taylor over 20.5 rushing yards
We did not wait week after week for the return of Taylor so as not to impact this match with his legs. Without Laremy Tunsil to protect his blind side, the Texans will need Taylor to fight the Dolphins.
Darren Waller on 5.5 receptions
Waller’s last off-Broadway performance was exceptional as he made 13 catches for 200 yards last season against the Jets. With Derek Carr having one less option to throw and Waller back after missing a game before the Raiders left, look for the quarterback and tight end to connect in a way they haven’t since. the start of the season. Waller gets double-digit targets and wins over half against the Giants.
Lamar Jackson over 245.5 passing yards
Mike Zimmer is strategically a few years behind, which means he’s probably going into this game with the intention of forcing Jackson to win with his arm; the Vikings give up the fifth most yards per quarterback rush attempt. But the Ravens signalman is quite able to beat his opponents in the air, ranking fifth in the NFL for net yards gained per passing attempt.
Austin Ekeler under 63.5 rushing yards
As with Kamara, it’s not an Ekeler fade – expected to be key to a game plan that sees Justin Herbert frequently throwing the ball against the Eagles’ heavy defense. Herbert has more success against area coverage, and Ekeler can still be involved in helping the Chargers slow down the Philadelphia top four via screens and dumps.
Elijah Mitchell anytime hit (+105)
The uncertainty of the Cardinals injury leaves little choice here. George Kittle is back for the 49ers, and while he will help their passing game, he is also a worldwide blocker in the running game. Elijah Mitchell has already been a good bet without Kittle in front of him, so we’ll be playing him to find the end zone (and on his rush yards once that market is available).
AJ Dillon over 37.5 rushing yards
We just saw it last week: Dillon SZN is extended for another game. The Packers will face another favorable opponent for their running game in the Chiefs and will rely on Aaron Jones and Dillon for a second straight week. Dillon had 16 races last week; nothing more than half of that should generate a winner against Kansas City’s much maligned defense.
Jeremy McNichols hit anytime +200
McNichols could be the second best running back on the planet, and no one will ever know. It’s hyperbole, sure, but anyone who plays behind Derrick Henry never gets the chance to show their thing. Until now. McNichols is a weapon in the passing game and should now have the lead on the field for the Titans. Let’s see if he can find some dirt for a Sunday night win against the Rams.
Matt Russell is a betting editor for theScore. If there’s a bad beat to be had, Matt will find it. Find him on Twitter @mrussauthentic.